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Grêmio vs Cuiabá Predictions and Tips

Dumitru Palanchuk
Dumitru Palanchuk
19 April 2024, 11:42

In the third round of Brasileirão Série A, Grêmio hosts Cuiabá at Arena de Grêmio in Porto Alegre. Grêmio is currently placed 8th in the tables with 3 points after two rounds, while Cuiabá occupies the last spot with 0 points. However, Cuiabá played only one game as its match against Vitoria was rescheduled. The teams have not a history of head to head matches, having played only 6 matches and looking at these matches, Grêmio appears as a favourable side, having won 5 of them and having 1 draw. In the upcoming match, Cuiabá will attempt to end this unpleasant trend but the team will find it hard to beat Grêmio on its own field, where the team shows remarkable results.

Grêmio vs Cuiabá Preview 

Grêmio Preview

Despite the loss in the first round of the championship to Vasco da Gama (1-2), Grêmio won its next match over Athletico (2-0), showing a confident display and leaving the opponent almost without any chances in front of their goal. Athletico had zero shots on target and finished the match with xG of 0.17. In general, Grêmio is looking well at home, having only one defeat in the last 13 matches, winning 11 of them during this period. Grêmio has never won the Brasileirão Série A after its establishment in 2001 and Renato Gaucho indicated that this season the team will do its best. Having a mix of experienced players as Diego Costa and Cristian Pavon coupled with potential Brazilian wonderkids, such as Lucas Besozzi and Nathan Fernandez allows the coach to balance the squad to achieve necessary results.

Cuiabá Preview 

Cuiabá started the season in a decent way by championing the local Campeonato Mato-Grossense with a confident display, having zero losses and only two draws throughout the tournament. However, the class of the teams participating in Mato-Grossense is significantly lower than in most other state championships and naturally, Cuiabá is usually considered among outsiders in the Brasileirão Série A. The team usually finishes its campaign in the main Brazilian championship outside of top-10 and this season has similar goals to stay out of the relegation zone. With the weak display shown in the first match against Athletico (0-4), the task of winning over Grêmio in Porto Alegre will be challenging.


Betting Tips for Grêmio vs. Cuiabá

Grêmio to Win

With its winning home run, it is hard to expect for Grêmio to lose points in this match. Renato Gaucho emphasised that the team needs a boost before the midweek match in the Copa Libertadores, where Grêmio still struggles to get points. Cuiabá, in this case, looks like a perfect opportunity, given its unfavourable run against Grêmio. Parimatch gives 1.60 for this Grêmio vs Cuiabá prediction.

Total Goals Grêmio Over 1.5

Grêmio has quite a decent display at home matches, being productive in most of the last games played at Arena de Grêmio. Grêmio scored at least two goals in 8 out of the last 11 home matches. Cuiabá, on the other hand, showed its weak defensive potential from the very beginning of the season, losing 4-0 against Athletico, which will ease the situation for Grêmio in the upcoming match. Grêmio vs. Cuiabá odds for this outcome, as defined by Parimatch, are 1.74.

First to Score - Cuiabá 

If not to win, Cuiabá can surprise Grêmio with the active start of the match, as Luiz Fernando Iubel’s team prefers to do. Cuiabá scored first in its last 5 out of 7 matches with most of the first goals scored in the first half. Grêmio, on the other hand, conceded first in the last 4 out 5 matches, which indicates a relative underestimation of the opponent. This may be the case in this match as well, given that in the only match at Porto Alegre that saw Cuiabá’s goal, the team scored first. For this Grêmio vs Cuiabá tip, Parimatch gives 3.05.

Remember to gamble responsibly. Tips provided serve only as a recommendation, not as a call to action. Always rely on your own judgement.