West Brom vs Stoke City Prediction and Tips

Dumitru Palanchuk
Dumitru Palanchuk
14 December 2023, 19:22

West Brom vs Stoke City Preview

The 2023/24 EFL Championship campaign is not slowing down, and following a round of midweek matches, there will be more games to enjoy on the weekend. On Saturday, December 16, West Bromwich Albion will take on Stoke City at The Hawthorns. The kick-off is scheduled for 12:00 noon local time.

Before going into the West Brom vs Stoke City prediction, we should mention that the Potters are on a very poor run of form. The hosts, meanwhile, continue fighting for a spot in the promotion play-off zone and will want to take the full points at home.

West Brom Preview

The Baggies sit fifth in the EFL Championship with 35 points after 21 matches, having scored 33 goals and conceded 21. West Brom may not be running for a title but they can definitely hope for a finish in the play-off spots.

In the recent five league matches, Saturday's hosts have registered three wins and two losses. Those losses came against stronger sides like Sunderland and Leicester City, but they have also beaten second-placed Ipswich Town in recent weeks.

One thing to consider in the West Brom vs Stoke City tips is that the Baggies are rather conservative in their approach, having the second-best defence in the league.

Stoke City Preview

Stoke City have had a very tough 2023/24 campaign in the second division, and their poor start has led to sacking of manager Alex Neil on December 10. The Potters remain without a permanent replacement for now.

In regards to their performances, Stoke are 19th in the table with 22 points, only two points above the relegation zone. They have scored 20 goals and allowed 29. With one draw and four losses, they have the joint-worst recent record in the EFL Championship.

Given the visitors’ recent form, it is no surprise that the West Brom vs Stoke City odds are so one-sided.

Betting Tips West Brom vs Stoke City

West Brom win

West Brom are on a decent run of form if we are to consider their last five matches, as it has been highlighted in the West Brom vs Stoke City prediction. That run should continue on Saturday with a win. The odds on it happening stand at 1.72 on Bet365.

The Baggies hope to continue in the play-off spots with another three points at The Hawthorns. This term so far, West Brom have recorded six home wins, two draws and two losses. The numbers are not ideal but they can be improved this weekend.

Stoke City are the perfect victims as they have not won a game since October 28. The Potters have been especially poor away from home, with two wins, two draws and six losses since the start of the 2023/24 EFL Championship campaign.

Under 2.5 goals

Although it may sound unfortunate for the neutral fans, we should not expect too many goals at The Hawthorns this weekend. The Baggies are more about defending than attacking, so we cannot hope for an open-ended game on Saturday.

To back this claim up with numbers, West Brom’s latest three wins were 2-0 Rotherham United, 1-0 over Cardiff City and 2-0 over Ipswich Town. The hosts have not scored more than two goals in a single match since the 3-1 win over Hull City two months ago.

The Potters may be on a bad run of form, but even so, they have not conceded more than three goals since the 4-2 loss to QPR in late November. The visitors will be desperate for any points, even a draw will go a long way. That is why we expect a low-block from them.

All these factors considered, Bet365 offers 1.70 odds on under 2.5 goals.

Over 3.5 cards

If not goals, we predict an intense clash between the two at least in terms of fouls and, subsequently, yellow cards. Bet365 gives 1.80 odds on over 3.5 cards between West Brom and Stoke.

Speaking about recent games, West Brom have been booked 12 times in the last five matches. However, we should keep in mind that half of those yellow cards came in a single match, the 2-1 loss to Sunderland.

As for the visitors, they have accumulated 17 cards during the same stretch of games. The Potters have been getting booked at least twice per match, but there is also one clear outlier: Stoke saw seven yellow cards in the 4-2 loss to QPR.

Since both teams do not shy away from fouls if the situation requires it, we can definitely see a high number of bookings on Saturday. This will be even more likely if the score remains level at half time and the teams get more intense in the final 45 minutes.

Please remember to always gamble responsibly. Our West Brom vs Stoke City tips are not a call to action. Rely on your own judgement in the end.