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West Brom vs Norwich City Prediction and Tips

Dumitru Palanchuk
Dumitru Palanchuk
25 December 2023, 16:09

West Brom vs Norwich City Preview

With the Boxing Day up ahead, the EFL Championship is back with another round of matches. In particular, many fans are waiting for the clash between West Brom and Norwich City on Tuesday, December 26. The kickoff at The Hawthorns is scheduled for 3 pm local time.

Both teams are fighting for a place in the play-off spots in the 2023/24 campaign, and this will be an important factor in our West Brom vs Norwich City prediction. However, it is important to note that the sides are approaching the game in very different forms and with very different philosophies.

West Brom Preview

The Baggies currently sit fifth in the league standings, having amassed 36 points after 23 matches. West Brom have scored 34 and conceded 23 goals in the 2023/24 EFL Championship campaign.

While sitting in a promotion play-off spot, the Baggies’ recent form is far from perfect. West Brom have recorded one win (against last-placed Rotherham United), one draw and three losses in the last five matches, which should be taken into account in our West Brom vs Norwich City tips.

The hosts will need a win on Tuesday or they risk falling out of the play-off spots zone.

Norwich City Preview

Norwich City are placed eighth in the table with 34 points, just two points away from the play-off zone. The Canaries have 41 goals in favour and 39 against.

With the 41 scored goals, only Ipswich Town and Leicester City have better attacking records than the visitors. At the same time, their defence is the fourth-worst in the league.

Finally, we should mention that Yellows’ recent record includes three wins and two draws in the last five matches. The hosts may be in worse form but have been more consistent throughout the season, and this may explain why the West Brom vs Norwich City odds are tipped in their favour.

Bookmaker
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U 2.5
O 2.5
Best odds: West Bromwich Albion vs Norwich City

Betting Tips West Brom vs Norwich City

Under 2.5 goals

While it is not what you’d expect from a match involving the Canaries, our first West Brom vs Norwich City prediction is a low number of goals. Bet365 offers 1.85 odds on under 2.5 goals on Tuesday.

Our reasoning comes down to two factors. First of all, West Brom are fairly conservative in their tactics, and their 23 conceded goals is the third-best result in the EFL Championship. Currently on a run of two winless matches and at risk of falling out of the play-off zone, the hosts cannot afford to go all-out on Tuesday, especially against such an attacking rival.

And second, Norwich have been much more consistent in terms of results recently and will not open up too much either. Thus, there have been under three goals in two of their recent five matches, including a goalless draw with Preston North End.

Draw

West Brom will need a win at The Hawthorns to distance themselves from the competitors in the race for play-off spots. For Norwich City, the three points could potentially lift them to the play-off zone for the first time since October when they were hit by a six-match winless run.

At the same time, avoiding a loss on Tuesday could even be more important for both sides because it would mean losing the momentum. With this in mind, we predict a draw between West Brom and Norwich, with Bet365 offering 3.60 odds on it to happen.

Finally, we should add that two of Norwich’s recent away matches ended in draws, and in the match against Bristol City, they clutched out a win thanks to a goal in the added time. The Canaries are more precautious on the road, and we expect that trend to continue.

Under 4.5 cards

In line with our expectations of a careful approach on both sides on Tuesday, we predict a low number of yellow cards. Certainly, both West Brom and Norwhich will use fouls as a means to stop the rivals’ attacks but you need an open-ended game for these fouls to be worthy of yellow cards. Bet365 gives 1.83 odds on under 4.5 cards.

If we were to turn to numbers, the hosts have been booked 14 times in the last five matches. However, if you exclude the match against Sunderland – where the Baggies saw six yellow cards – then West Brom typically see two yellow cards per game, in line with their numbers throughout the 2023/24 campaign.

Norwich City are on a completely different level in this regard. The Canaries have been booked just three times in their last five matches, as the team left the field without a single card in the draws with Ipswich Town and Preston North End.

Please remember to always gamble responsibly. Our West Brom vs Norwich City tips are only suggestions, not a call to action. Always rely on your own judgement in the end.

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