Spain vs Italy Preview: Reminiscence of EURO 2020 Semifinal Or Replay of Nations League Finals?

Dumitru Palanchuk
Dumitru Palanchuk
19 June 2024, 14:54

Spain vs Italy

The highly anticipated Euro 2024 match between Spain and Italy on June 20th promises to be a thrilling encounter between two European football giants. Both teams have started the tournament on a strong note, with Spain securing an impressive 3-0 victory over Croatia, while Italy edged past Albania with a hard-fought 2-1 win. This clash will be a rematch of the Euro 2020 semi-final, where Italy prevailed on penalties after a tense 1-1 draw. Aside from the EURO clash, the teams met in two semifinals of the Nations League, in 2023 and 2021, where the Spanish side was stronger in both instances with the same score (2-1). Spain vs Italy odds favour Spain as a preferred side to win, however, the Gia Azzurri are eager to defend their European crown.

Spain Team News

Spain's comfortable win over Croatia showcased their attacking prowess, with goals from Álvaro Morata, Fabián Ruiz, and Dani Carvajal. Luis de la Fuente's side boasts a formidable lineup, featuring the likes of Pedri and Rodri, all of whom will be eager to make their mark against the defending champions. One area of concern for Spain could be their lack of a consistent goalscorer, as Álvaro Morata is highly dependent on his mood, however, their fluid attacking play and ability to create chances from multiple sources mitigate this issue. With players like Dani Olmo and Nico Williams providing width and creativity, Spain will look to exploit any defensive vulnerabilities in the Italian backline and sometimes clumsy wingbacks.

Italy Team News

Italy's hard-fought victory over Albania demonstrated its resilience and determination to defend their European crown, however, showcased its incohesiveness in defence and the lack of attacking versatility. Despite falling behind early, Italy managed to secure all three points for Luciano Spalletti's side. Similar to Spain, Gia Azzurri suffers from the lack of a clear goalscorer, bringing the nostalgia for Ciro Immobile. Gianluca Scamacca, despite being in almost perfect shape at the end of the season, found it hard to fit in in the opening match. Thus, Italians will likely adopt a pragmatic approach against Spain, relying on solidifying their defensive structure and looking to hit their opponents on the counter-attack. Midfield enforcers like Jorginho and Nicolo Barella will be tasked with disrupting Spain's possession game, while the likes of Federico Chiesa will aim to provide the cutting edge in attack. 

Spain vs Italy Prediction

Draw

Despite the confident winning over Croatia, Spain’s display was far from dominant, and if not for unusual mistakes in midfield and defence, the result could have been completely different. Italy, keen to dominate in the centre and build on their defensive capabilities, is unlikely to meet the same fate and appears as completely ready to withstand the Spanish pressure. At the same time, the scarcity of attacking options, with a heavy reliance on the creativity of Chiesa and Barella’s vision, does not let us put the nominal guests as the favourable side as well. In these realities, the draw seems to be the most optimal option for both teams. This Spain vs Italy tip comes at 3.20 at MrPlay.

Both Teams to Score

Both teams have players who can come up and create a goal out of nothing, thanks to their vision of the field or outstanding technique. In the case of Spain, it is Nico Williams and Lamine Yamal, as well as Dani Carvajal, who seems to find himself in the scoring mantle quite often recently. Italy can rely on Barella’s shooting range as well as advantage in height of its defenders, when it comes to free kicks or corners. Given these advantages of both, the goals from both sides can be expected as the teams meticulously wait to exploit the weaknesses of the opponent. This outcome comes at 1.90 at MrPlay.

Total Corners Under 9.5

The main emphasis of the upcoming match will likely concentrate on the midfield battle, where both teams possess the most advanced and reliable options. De la Fuente has always favoured the saturating of midfield lines, while Spaletti, having such players as Barella and Jorginho, emphasises this part of the field as the key in the beginning of the team’s attacks. These considerations lead to the few corners taken, with Spain’s match saw only 5 corners, while in the clash between Italy and Albania, there were only 8. Given the tactical domain of the upcoming game, it is unlikely that it will feature a lot of corners. This option can be picked up at 1.54 at MrPlay.

Remember to gamble responsibly. Tips provided serve only as a recommendation, not as a call to action. Always rely on your own judgement.