Spain vs France Preview: High Pressing of La Furia Roja Against Pragmatism Of Les Bleus

Dumitru Palanchuk
Dumitru Palanchuk
8 July 2024, 13:27

Spain vs France

Two European football giants, Spain and France, are set to face off in the semi-final at the Allianz Arena in Munich. Spain has been in scintillating form throughout the Euro 2024, winning all five of their matches and demonstrating both attacking flair and defensive solidity. France, on the other hand, has shown resilience and tactical discipline, keeping four clean sheets in their five games. Both teams have a rich history in major tournaments, and this semi-final clash is set to be a spectacle of skill, strategy, and determination.

Spain Team News

Under the guidance of coach Luis de la Fuente, Spain has excelled in both attack and defence, leading the tournament in goals scored, total attempts, and balls recovered. Spain's tactical approach has evolved in recent years, with a focus on high pressing and quick transitions. This strategy has paid off, allowing them to dominate possession and create numerous scoring opportunities.

Having in the squad key players like Dani Olmo, who was instrumental when on the field, and super subs like Mikel Merino, who netted the decisive header in the quarter-finals, have been instrumental in Spain's success. However, Spain faces some challenges heading into the semi-final, despite being a slight favourite as per Spain vs France odds. The team will be without key players in defence like Carvajal and Robin Le Normand due to suspensions, while midfield will present another jigsaw as Pedri and Fabian Ruiz are nursing injuries.  

France Team News

France, led by coach Didier Deschamps, has had a rollercoaster journey in this campaign but has shown remarkable resilience to reach the semi-finals. The team has relied on its defensive strength, keeping four clean sheets and showcasing a disciplined approach. France's path to the semi-finals included a dramatic penalty shootout victory over Portugal, highlighting their ability to handle pressure situations. France's tactical approach under Deschamps has been pragmatic, focusing on a solid defensive structure and quick counter-attacks.

This style of play has been effective, but the team will need to find a balance between defence and attack to overcome Spain. The potential return of Ousmane Dembélé, who has shown flashes of brilliance, could provide an additional attacking option for France. Les Bleus however faced some challenges with inconsistent attacking performances, as Kylian Mbappe is reportedly suffering from back pains, in addition to the broken nose, while Marcus Thuram does not shows its best.

Spain vs France Prediction

Total Goals Under 2.5

It is hard to await bright football with plenty of goals scored in the upcoming match. France, from its side, is cautious and if needed can wait until the very last minute or extra time to secure the result. With the current problems in attack, Deschamps simply does not have any other options rather than stick to this plan that has already brought Les Bleus to semifinals. Spain, despite playing a more joyful football, will have to concentrate on covering the losses from quarter finals, as key defenders Carvajal and Le Normand are out for the upcoming match, as well as Pedri, who was a key midfielder alongside Rodri in de la Fuente’s plans. With these considerations, cautious and viscous football can be expected, which is unlikely to bring a lot of goals. This Spain vs France prediction comes at 1.51 at MrPlay.

First Half Result - Draw

Given the importance of the match and the problems from the both sides, the first half is likely to provide a scouting field for both coaches to adjust their teams’ display accordingly in the second half. France, especially during this tournament, is quite fond of finishing their first 45 minutes with a draw, with only the starting half against Austria finished with a different outcome. Spain, despite having several impressive wins in the beginning of their matches, was quite cautious when it came to serious opponents or playoff stages, finishing their first halves with Germany, Georgia and Italy with a draw. This match is likely to become another instance of this trend, that can be picked up at 1.85 at MrPlay.

Total Offsides Over 2.5

This match is likely to bring plenty of offsides as both sides will attempt to break through the weak points of each other. France will push towards the right flank, where Kylian Mbappe will attempt to outpace Jesus Navas. Given that the former Manchester City and Sevilla player is already 38 years old, the offside trap is the most likely option to mitigate the danger coming from this scenario. Spain, having an average of 2 offsides per game is likely to continue to use Lamine Yamal and Niko Williams to break through high French defensive flanks, as both Theo Hernandez and Jules Kounde eagerly join attacks, while Dayot Upamecano is well-known for losing the position. Such scenarios are likely to bring several offsides in this semifinal and this Spain vs France tip comes at 1.66 at MrPlay.  

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