Sevilla vs Real Madrid Tips and Predictions

Dumitru Palanchuk
Dumitru Palanchuk
20 October 2023, 12:45

La Liga returns from the break with a top encounter as Sevilla will be hosting Real Madrid on Saturday, October 21. The game will kick off at 6:30 pm local time.

Big news came during the break as Sevilla fired Europa League winning coach Jose Luis Mendilibar and replaced him with Uruguayan coach Diego Alonso, for whom it will be the first job in Europe. There could’ve been no worse rival for the first match in charge than league-leaders Real Madrid.

In our Sevilla vs Real Madrid tips, we will take into account Alonso’s previous work since this Saturday will see his debut at Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan.

Both teams to score? Yes

Diego Alonso has made a name for himself as an attack-minded coach first of all. So, we should not expect Sevilla to park the bus on Saturday despite them currently sitting in 14th place and being desperate for points.

Real Madrid have the best defence in 2023/24 La Liga with six conceded goals, but stronger teams like Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad have been able to score past them. Sevilla already had a decent frontline with 13 league goals to date, and we can imagine them getting on the scoreboard at home. 

At the same time, we have no doubts that Los Blancos will also manage to score at least once, like they have done in all 2023/24 La Liga matches so far. Bet365 offers 1.61 odds on both teams scoring at Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan. 

Under 10 corners

Although we previously said in our Sevilla vs Real Madrid tips that both teams will score, we do not necessarily expect an eventful match on Saturday. 

For one, the teams will have some of their players tired after the international break. That will be especially true for South Americans like Vinicius Junior or Fede Valverde. Besides playing two intense matches, they also have to travel huge distances from and to Madrid. This fatigue will be noticeable on the pitch, unless Carlo Ancelotti decides to rotate the squad, which may hurt Madrid’s attack even more.

For the hosts, this will be the first game under coach Diego Alonso and it is unreasonable to expect them to look like a reformed team. With other important fixtures ahead in La Liga and Champions League, it makes little sense going all out on Real Madrid.

For these reasons, we expect a low number of scoring chances and thus a low number of corner kicks. Bet365’s odds on under 10 corner kicks stand at 1.90.

Under 5.5 cards

In line with our expectations of a rather uneventful game, the match between Sevilla and Real Madrid also promises to be a low-intensity one. 

The built-up fatigue and the bloated calendar ahead will certainly limit the amount of energy the two sides will put in the match on October 21. As a result, we shouldn’t see that many fouls and yellow cards on either side.

Furthermore, Carlo Ancelotti’s Real Madrid has never been a team that presses a lot, they are happy to let the rival keep possession and play on the counter if the situation requires it. This, of course, means that Los Blancos do not get booked that often. So, Bet365’s 1.66 odds on under 5.5 cards in the game look fairly attractive.

Please remember to always gamble responsibly. Our Sevilla vs Real Madrid tips are mere suggestions, not a call to action. Always rely on your own judgement first and foremost.