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Real Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction and Tips

Dumitru Palanchuk
Dumitru Palanchuk
12 January 2024, 13:48

Real Madrid vs Barcelona Preview

Just like many had hoped before the start of the tournament, we got another El Clasico in the Spanish Super Cup final. Real Madrid and Barcelona disposed of their rivals in the previous stage and will now go head to head on Sunday, January 14. The game in Saudi Arabia will kick off at 10 pm local time.

This will be a chance to win the first trophy of 2023/24 for both teams, something to keep in mind in the Real Madrid vs Barcelona prediction. The Catalans have struggled with consistency this term but they remain capable of beating their arch rivals in a one-off game.

Real Madrid Preview

Real Madrid have qualified for the Spanish Super Cup as winners of the 2022/23 Copa del Rey. In the previous round, Carlo Ancelotti’s men beat Atletico Madrid 5-3 after extra time in order to advance to the final on Sunday.

The recent form will also play a role in our Real Madrid vs Barcelona tips, and Los Blancos are on the back of five consecutive wins (if you count the win in extra time against Atletico). The Madrid side will also seek revenge on Sunday, being defeated by the Catalans in the Spanish Super Cup final last year.

Finally, Real Madrid will miss Thibaut Courtois, Eder Militao, David Alaba and Lucas Vazquez through injury.

Barcelona Preview

Barcelona won the 2022/23 La Liga and thus qualified for the Spanish Super Cup tournament for yet another year. In the semi-final, the Catalans beat Osasuna 2-0. The said match took place on Thursday, meaning that Xavi’s men get to rest only two days ahead of the final.

The winners of the 2022/23 Spanish Super Cup, the Catalans are still struggling to find their best game in the new campaign. Their form includes four wins and one draw in the last five matches across all competitions.

Xavi cannot count on Gavi, Marcos Alonso, Marc-Andre ter Stegen and Inigo Martinez through injury, while Joao Cancelo and Raphinha are doubtful. All things considered, the Real Madrid vs Barcelona odds predictably prefer Los Blancos.

Betting Tips for Real Madrid vs Barcelona

Both teams to score? Yes

El Clasico is always a must-watch, at the very least because of the passion involved. We also expect that the clash on Sunday will offer the fans a lot of entertainment, and our first Real Madrid vs Barcelona prediction is a goal in both nets. Bet365 gives 1.61 odds on both teams scoring.

Los Blancos have had a surprisingly good defence in 2023/24, beating every Spanish team in this regard. The recent weeks have been less successful for Ancelotti's team, though, with two clean sheets in the last five matches and a total of five conceded goals. Xavi’s team has enough attacking might to upset them.

Barcelona have one clean sheet in the last five official matches and a total of six conceded goals. The defensive solidity that won the Catalans the league last term is no longer there, and Real Madrid will find a way to hurt them.

Over 2.5 goals

Due to the multiple injuries in both squads, neither team can field an optimal starting XI on Sunday. This should increase the number of defensive mistakes – like it happened with Real Madrid in the semi-final – and lead to a high number of scoring opportunities. Bet365 give 1.75 odds on over 2.5 goals in the upcoming El Clasico.

If we were to look at the numbers, then three out of the recent five games ended with over 2.5 goals for Real Madrid. The 1-0 wins over Mallorca and Alaves are the exception here, but they are teams that play with a low block and barely care about attacking.

The numbers are exactly the same for Barcelona, with three high-scoring games in recent weeks. If you watched the 1-1 draw with Valencia, though, then you know that the Catalans had enough chances to score at least one more in that game.

Robert Lewandowski to score anytime

Since we have talked about goals so much, we may as well go ahead and predict who could score them. Despite all the criticism he has received since the start of the campaign, we believe that Robert Lewandowski will find the net in El Clasico. Bet365 gives 2.75 on the striker scoring anytime on Sunday.

Lewandowski has indeed had a difficult 2023/24 season so far, scoring 11 goals and providing five assists in 24 appearances for Barcelona across all competitions. However, the 34-year-old seems to have picked up form recently, as he scored in the two previous matches for the Catalans.

Generally speaking, Lewandowski hasn’t had too much luck in El Clasico since moving to Catalonia. Nevertheless, we have to remember that the Poland international scored and provided an assist in the Spanish Super Cup final against Los Blancos last year, and that is why we predict another inspired performance from him.

Please remember to always gamble responsibly. Our Real Madrid vs Barcelona tips are only suggestions, not a call to action. Always rely on your own judgement in the end.