RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction and Tips

Dumitru Palanchuk
Dumitru Palanchuk
18 January 2024, 12:51

RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen Preview

The winter break is over for Bundesliga and the German clubs are back on their regular schedule. On Saturday, January 20, RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen will go head to head in what is expected to be the most entertaining match of the round. The kick-off is scheduled for 6:30 pm local time.

The hosts have had a solid 2023/24 campaign so far but started the new year with an undeserving defeat, something to keep in mind in our RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction. The visitors remain involved in the title race and cannot afford to drop points just yet.

RB Leipzig Preview

RB Leipzig are currently fourth in the Bundesliga with 33 points after 17 matches. So far, Marco Rose's team has recorded 38 goals in favour and 18 against.

The Red Bulls had a good first half of the season but started 2024 with a surprise home defeat to Eintracht Frankfurt. In the last five league matches, they’ve recorded three wins, one draw and one loss.

The absentees are also important for the RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen tips, with the hosts missing Willi Orban via injury and Amadou Haidara who is away on international duty.

Bayer Leverkusen Preview

The big surprise of the season, Bayer Leverkusen are currently first in the standings with 45 points. Xabi Alonso’s men have a four-point advantage over Bayern Munich but have played one match more.

In terms of recent form, Bayer are on a run of three wins and two draws in the last five Bundesliga outings. They have scored 47 goals and conceded 12, remaining unbeaten in the league.

The visitors are left without Arthur and Victor Boniface due to injury, as well as Amine Adli, Edmond Tapsoba and Odilon Kossounou who have been called up by their national teams. Despite missing more players, Alonso's team are still seen as the favourites in the RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen odds.

Betting Tips for RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen

Both teams to score? Yes

Like with any top-level match in the Bundesliga, our expectations will primarily have to do with goals. To start our RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction, we believe that both teams will score, with Bet365 giving 1.53 odds on it to happen.

We should say that the Red Bulls are far from being a defensive team, with no clean sheet in the last five matches. Moreover, Marco Rose’s side has not kept a clean sheet since October 28. Bayer, with their second-best attack in Germany, will certainly get one past the goal line.

The Schwartzroten are far superior in defence with just 12 goals since the start of the league campaign. Nevertheless, they conceded in two out of the last five league games. RB Leipzig’s scoring output is only outdone by Bayer and Bayern, so they should be able to get at least one goal on Saturday. 

Over 2.5 goals

Moreover, we do not expect the match to end with just two goals since a draw will not be an agreeable result for either team. The odds on over 2.5 goals in the match stand at 1.62 on Bet365.

We can take a look at the numbers in an attempt to back our expectations up. Firstly, RB Leipzig have been involved in three high-scoring games in recent weeks. And even in the 1-0 loss to Eintracht Frankfurt and 1-1 draw with Werder Bremen, there could have been more goals, the Red Bulls simply did not convert their chances.

As for Bayer Leverkusen, only two out of the recent five Bundesliga matches included three or more goals. However, we can see a higher number of goals on Saturday because of RB Leipzig’s weaker defence. Furthermore, the hosts cannot simply sit back and wait after dropping points two matches in a row.

Over 8 corners

Since we predict an open-ended match on Saturday with goal scoring chances on both ends, we will also mention corner kicks. A high number shots often correlates with a high number of corners due to the various deflections and blocks. Bet365 offer 1.83 odds on over 8 corner kicks at the Red Bull Arena.

There were 19 corner kicks in RB Leipzig’s recent 1-0 loss to Eintracht Frankfurt. Since the visitors parked the bus, the hosts had to do their best to bypass it, and it included spamming crosses into the box and shooting from the distance. The scenario is likely to be different this time around, but a high number of corners is still likely. 

In total, there have been more than eight corners in three out of RB Leipzig’s recent five Bundesliga games. As for Bayer Leverkusen, their 4-0 over Bochum was the only match in which this figure was below eight.

Please remember to always gamble responsibly. Our RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen tips are only suggestions, not a call to action. Always rely on your own judgement in the end.