PSG vs Newcastle United Prediction and Tips

Dumitru Palanchuk
Dumitru Palanchuk
27 November 2023, 13:52

PSG vs Newcastle United Preview

There was no doubt ahead of the 2023/24 UEFA Champions League that Group F – with Paris Saint-Germain, AC Milan, Borussia Dortmund and Newcastle United – would be the group of death. However, only a few would have guessed that, with two games left before the end of the group stage, Dortmund would find themselves in first place while Newcastle would be last.

Needless to say, the upcoming clash at Parc des Princes between Paris Saint-Germain and Newcastle United will be crucial in how the competition pans out. The kick-off is scheduled for 9 pm local time on Tuesday, November 28.

PSG Preview

Under incoming coach Luis Enrique, Paris Saint-Germain had a rough start to the season but have been gradually picking up form. The Parisians are on a six-match winning streak in Ligue 1 and finally find themselves top of the table. Nevertheless, we are more concerned with their European form for our PSG vs Newcastle United prediction.

In four UEFA Champions League matches so far, Paris have recorded two wins and two losses, scoring seven goals and conceding six. With six points, Luis Enrique’s boys sit second in Group F, one point behind Borussia Dortmund. A win against Newcastle won’t be enough to qualify for the knockout stages but dropping points would spell trouble, as their last match is against BVB.

Newcastle United Preview

The Magpies are back to playing UEFA Champions League football for the first time in almost 20 years but despite this, many considered them the dark horses in Group F. 

Eddie Howe’s side indeed had a good start to the 2023/24 campaign, drawing against AC Milan in the opening match and then beating PSG 4-1 at home. Then followed two consecutive defeats to Borussia Dortmund, which saw Newcastle last in the group with four goals scored and four conceded.

For our PSG vs Newcastle United tips, we will revisit the previous encounter between the two, although the context will be rather different on Tuesday.

Betting Tips PSG vs Newcastle United

Both to score? Yes

Speaking about the different context, both teams will be desperate for the win – that is what sets these PSG vs Newcastle United odds apart from the last time the two teams went head to head. Sitting last in the group, the Toon need at least some points at Parc des Princes or they are doomed.

So, unlike last time, Howe’s men cannot sit back and defend, waiting for the Parisians to open up. Instead, it should be the visitors who are on the offence right from the start. The changed approach will also make Newcastle more exposed defensively, which we expect Paris to take advantage of through their rapid wingers like Kylian Mbappe and Ousmane Dembele.

So, to sum this portion up, we believe that both teams will score on Tuesday. It happened the last time at St James’ Park, and Bet365 gives 1.70 odds on it happening again.

Over 2.5 goals

The match should not end with just two goals, though, because neither PSG nor Newcastle United will be satisfied with a 1-1 draw. Bet365’s odds on over 2.5 goals stand at 1.65.

Both sides returned from the international break with high-scoring wins this weekend. Paris Saint-Germain defeated Monaco 5-2 at home with an impressive performance throughout the 90 minutes. As for the Magpies, they beat Chelsea 4-1 at home with a strong showing after the break. It may also be important to note that PSG had one extra day of rest, having played Monaco on Friday.

The home side has an illustrious attack and it is not by chance that they are the best scoring team in Group F. Newcastle, on the other hand, have scored all of their goals against PSG, and at the very least this means they know what it takes to get past Gianluigi Donnarumma.

Kylian Mbappe to score

Since our PSG vs Newcastle United prediction have been heavily reliant on goals, we cannot ignore Kylian Mbappe – the man in form. In an important game like this, it should be the 24-year-old who rises up to the occasion.

In the 2023/24 campaign so far, Mbappe has scored 16 goals for Paris Saint-Germain in as many appearances. To confirm his impressive run of form, the France international netted seven times in the last five league matches.

However, Mbappe has been rather quiet in the UEFA Champions League matches, scoring twice in four matches – against Borussia Dortmund and AC Milan. Interestingly, both of those matches were played at Parc des Princes, just like the upcoming game against the Toon. 

Newcastle found a way to limit Mbappe’s chances in the previous match but since they will need to worry more about the attack this time around, Kylian will certainly get his opportunities. Since he doesn’t need too many to convert, Bet365 offer 1.83 odds on Mbappe scoring anytime.

Please remember to always gamble responsibly. Our PSG vs Newcastle United tips are suggestions, not a call to action. Always rely on your own judgement in the end.