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Poland vs Estonia Predictions and Tips

Dumitru Palanchuk
Dumitru Palanchuk
19 March 2024, 14:19

In this qualification match of playoffs, Poland will meet with Estonia and in this pair there is a clear favourite. Estonia has a series of three consecutive defeats, while Poland, after arrival of the new head coach, Michał Probierz is still yet to lose, with 4 games without defeat. The teams met only once before, in an international friendly, which is why its result should not be considered (Estonia won 1-0). However, perhaps this will somehow affect the morale of Estonia, given that they are coming to Warsaw as the clear outsiders.

Poland vs Estonia Preview 

Poland Preview

Poland finished the qualification group stage in third place, passing the direct promotion to Albania and Czechia, losing 4 points to both teams. Perhaps, the final stands could have been different if Poland had not had sudden problems in 2 games with Moldavia, where favourites lost 3-2 and drew 1-1, both times with overwhelming advantage on the pitch. During the group stage, Poland had 3 wins, 3 loses and 2 draws, quite a weak result expected from the team who got to play off of the 2022 World Cup in Qatar. Michał Probierz, who came to replace Fernando Santos after 2-0 loss to Albania, has a versatile squad, balanced in terms of age and potential. Leaders of the team, such as Robert Lewandowski and Wojciech Szczęsny have already expressed their confidence in their capabilities and what’s left is to prove them on the pitch.

Estonia Preview 

Estonia got to this round of Euro qualification only thanks to Nations League, since the team’s performance in the group stage of Euro qualification, was, to say the least, far from acceptable, having only 1 point and the last place at the end. The Estonian team lacks first-hand experience and most of the squad play in local or central european leagues, with only Karl Hein and Martin Vetkal representing the second teams of Arsenal and Roma, still not getting any minutes in the first teams. Given this, Estonians are rightfully considered outsiders in this pair, given the quality of their play and the depth of their squad. It is also worth mentioning that Estonia plays in the D league of Nations League, which consists of the weakest European teams.

U 2.5
O 2.5
Best odds: Poland vs Estonia

Betting Tips for Poland vs Estonia

Poland Handicap -1.5 Goals

The favourite of this pair is obvious given the different factors, from the class of the squad to the overall results of the teams. It will be hard to expect surprises in this match, given the determination of Polish players to get to Euros after a somewhat disappointing group stage campaign. Unibet gives 1.51 for this Poland vs Estonia prediction.

Total Goals Under 3

At the same time, Poland does not usually score a lot, with the only shootout being the match against Moldavia (3-2). In all matches under the leadership of Probierz two goals were scored. It is also evident that Poland has problems against the teams who came to play defensively, which is likely to be the scenario of the upcoming match. Poland vs Estonia odds for this outcome, as defined by Unibet, are 1.66.

Total Goals First Half Under 1.5

Poland also has a quality of playing second halves better than the first ones. In the matches, where the team enjoyed overwhelming advantage on the field from the first minutes, such as games against Moldavia and Faroe Islands, there were no more than 1 goals in all of these games. Given that this is the first match of the national team since last year, the team will also need time to get into the game. Unibet gives 1.50 for this Poland vs Estonia tip.

Remember to gamble responsibly. Tips provided serve only as a recommendation, not as a call to action. Always rely on your own judgement.