Peru vs Chile Preview: La Roja Hopes to Bring Back 2016 Success Starting with the Win against Los Incas

Dumitru Palanchuk
Dumitru Palanchuk
13 June 2024, 16:26

Peru vs Chile

The Copa America 2024 group stage clash between Peru and Chile is set to take place on June 22, 2024, at AT&T Stadium. This match is highly anticipated as both teams have a storied rivalry and are looking to make a strong start in the tournament. Peru and Chile have been drawn into a challenging group including Argentina and Canada, making every match crucial for advancing to the knockout stages. Historically, matches between Peru and Chile have been fiercely contested. In their most recent encounters, Chile has had the upper hand, winning 2-0 in their last meeting in October 2023, and with current Peru vs Chile odds, also comes as a favourite. However, Peru has shown resilience in past tournaments, including a fourth-place finish in the previous Copa America. 

Peru Team News

Peru enters the Copa America 2024 with a mix of experience and challenges. Managed by Jorge Fossati, the oldest manager in the tournament at 71, Peru's squad is notably ageing, with key players like captain Paolo Guerrero, now 40 years old, still leading the line, which should be taken into account when considering Peru vs Chile prediction. The defence also features several players in their mid-30s, raising concerns about the squad's overall pace and stamina.  This was particularly evident during the 2026 World Cup qualification phase in 2023, when the team failed to win at least one match, with 5 losses and 2 draws. In the upcoming Copa, the key player on whom the team relies heavily is André Carrillo, who, if fit, could be a game-changer for Peru. Carrilo, closing in on 100 caps, is known for his smart, De Bruyneesque play and movement off the ball, making him a crucial asset in what could be his last major international tournament.

Chile Team News

Chile, under the management of Ricardo Gareca is coming with their ambition to reclaim the title they last won in 2016. The squad features a mix of seasoned veterans and promising young talents, with key players like Alexis Sánchez, Arturo Vidal, and Claudio Bravo are still playing pivotal roles. However, the reliance on older players is raising questions about the team's ability to adapt and integrate new talent. In 2021, Chile was able to reach quarter-finals, where it narrowly lost to Brazil. This year, Gareca aims at least at the semifinals, however, recent matches do not instil confidence, given the unstable results. During the 2026 World Cup qualification, the team managed to win only once, against Peru, while other matches were lost or drawn.

Peru vs Chile Prediction

Chile to Win

Given all the problems and uncertainties of both teams, Chile looks more balanced and has several options to rely on in the upcoming game. Moreover, despite weak qualification for the 2026 World Cup for both teams, Chile was able to beat Peru during this stage, thus having a certain psychological advantage amid the upcoming match. Moreover, the experience of the likes of Sanchez still can prove to be decisive for La Roja. The win of Chile comes at 2.03 at MrPlay.

Total Goals Under 2.5

While Peru will look to overcome their aging squad's limitations and Chile will aim to capitalise on the leadership of their veteran stars, it is hard to expect many goals from such a style. Moreover, three consecutive head-to-head matches saw less than 3 goals. Both teams prefer not to engage in shootouts and given their relative lack of options in the attack, it is unlikely that the upcoming game will feature a lot of goals. This outcome can be picked up at 1.53 at MrPlay.

Total Second Half Over 1

Most of the matches of both teams see goals in the second half, since both Chile and Peru do not have the capabilities to instil pressing on their opponents through the whole course of the game. In the case of La Roja, their goals come at the end of the match, as Gareca favours the attrition tactics - thus, in the last 4 matches, when the team has scored, there was at least one goal in the second half. Peru, on the other hand, mostly concedes at the second half, as the ageing team looks way more vulnerable at the end of the matches, with Los Incas' last 4 out of 7 matches saw at least one goal in the second 45 minutes. This Peru vs Chile tip comes at 2.05 at Mr Play.

Remember to gamble responsibly. Tips provided serve only as a recommendation, not as a call to action. Always rely on your own judgement.