Olympiacos vs Fiorentina Preview: Athens Conference League Final Prediction From ClubSport’s Experts

Dumitru Palanchuk
Dumitru Palanchuk
23 May 2024, 05:26

The Athens final will see Olympiacos and Fiorentina facing each other in order to determine the winner of this draw of the Conference League. Before getting to the Olympiacos vs Fiorentina prediction, it is important to consider a bumpy road to the final for both sides, showcasing that they deserve to win the third-ranked UEFA competition in Europe. The final will take place in Athens, Greece, which will become an additional motivation for Olympiacos to win the trophy on their home soil. The Greek side becomes only the second Greek team to reach the final of the European competition and is looking up at its younger counterparts, who claimed the UEFA Youth title earlier this season. On the other hand, Fiorentina, once being the first Italian team to reach the European final back in 1957, is eager to fight for its second European trophy for the first time since 1961.

Olympiacos Team News

Olympiacos, perhaps, had a more dramatic playoff stage, which started with a surreal comeback against Maccabi Tel-Aviv, when the Greek side won 6-1 after losing the first match 1-4. The most heated match of the playoffs saw Olympiacos and Fenerbahce, and only after a penalty shoot-out, Olympiacos came victorious, advancing to knock out the favourite of the tournament, Aston Villa (2-4, 2-0), in the semifinals. For Olympiacos, the season in the Stoiximan Super League is over, where the team did not show its best, finishing only third after PAOK and AEK. Another important variable to influence the Olympiacos vs Fiorentina tip is that Jose Luis Mendilibar has all his men ready as he potentially may be his second European trophy in two years.

Fiorentina Team News

Fiorentina did not see such dramatic confrontations but has also had its share of emotions, especially with last-minute goals in some of the matches. Wins over Maccabi Haifa (3-4) and Brugge (3-2), that saw stoppage time winning goals, will long be cherished by the fans, while confident quarter-finals against Viktoria Plzen (0-0, 2-0), once again proved that Fiorentina is positioned way better in elimination-format tournaments, rather than distanced one. Despite that the season in Serie A is not over, Vincenzo Italiano emphasised the importance of the upcoming final and his desire to keep his best 11 ready for the Athens final.

Olympiacos vs Fiorentina Prediction

Olympiacos Draw No Bet

Olympiacos has several advantages over Fiorentina in the upcoming finale. First of all, the Greek side is playing almost at the home stadium, given that the distance between Piraeus and OPAP Arena is just a few kilometres. Given the full support of Greek fans, it will be extremely hard for Fiorentina, especially given the team’s relatively weak performances in away games. Since the beginning of 2024, Fiorentina got only 2 away wins, against Salernitana (2-0) and Maccabi Haifa (4-3). In addition, while Olympiacos can fully focus on the preparations for the finale, Fiorentina has not finished Serie A matches, distracting the squad. Thus, Olympiacos faces this match in a more favourable shape and when it comes to Olympiacos vs Fiorentina odds, MrPlay gives 2.21 for this outcome.

Total Goals Under 2.5

Despite the Greek football slowly moving away from the cliche of being less productive than other European leagues, it is unlikely that Mendilibar will like his men to engage in a shootout. His last European final, a match against Jose Mourihno’s Roma, is a likely example of the scenario of the upcoming match - minimum moments, maximum effectiveness. The same can be said for Fiorentina, who will most likely feel uncomfortable playing almost at the hosts’ home side. With a major trophy at stake, we will likely see a closed, tactical display, with an emphasis on the defence. For this outcome, MrPlay gives 1.68.

Goal Between 76-90 Minutes - Yes

With both teams showcased several late-match thrillers on their road to the final, the upcoming match in Athens has all the chances to see another late goal. In all the playoff matches, the teams scored 7 goals after 76 minutes, indicating that both are eager to wait for a favourable opportunity till the very end of the match. As coaches understand pretty clearly, there is no need to rush and the best strategy will be to wait for the opponent’s mistake which can mostly happen at the end of the match. Thus, it will be logical to expect goals scored in the last 15 minutes, for which MrPlay gives 2.01.

Remember to gamble responsibly. Tips provided serve only as a recommendation, not as a call to action. Always rely on your own judgement.