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Norwich City vs West Brom Prediction and Tips

Dumitru Palanchuk
Dumitru Palanchuk
19 January 2024, 10:48

Norwich City vs West Brom Preview

Things are getting heated in the EFL Championship, with the race for promotion play-off spots being more intense than it has been in a long time. A very important match in the outcome of said race is going to take place on Saturday, January 20, with Norwich City taking on West Brom at home. The match at Carrow Road will kick-off at 3 pm local time.

Before starting with our Norwich City vs West Brom prediction, we should say that both teams are hoping for a finish inside the top six this term. However, the Baggies are better-placed to do so and can be happy with just one point on Saturday.

Norwich City Preview

The Canaries are currently sitting 11th in the EFL Championship with 38 points after 27 matches, having scored 44 and conceded 43 goals.

In terms of recent form, David Wagner’s men have recorded two wins, one draw and two losses in the last five league matches.

The hosts’ position in the standings needs to be put into context, though, as they are just one win away from the promotion play-off zone, with the sixth spot currently occupied by Coventry City with 40 points. This is something to keep in mind in the Norwich City vs West Brom tips.

West Brom Preview

West Brom currently sit fifth in the table with 45 points. Coached by Carlos Coberan, the Baggies have scored 40 and conceded 25 goals in the 2023/24 league campaign so far.

The visitors are doing slightly better when it comes to form, with three wins and two losses in the last five EFL Championship games.

The visitors are rather comfortable in their position and do not currently risk falling out of the promotion play-off zone even in case of a loss. Moreover, they are seen at a slight advantage when it comes to the Norwich City vs West Brom odds.

Bookmaker
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U 2.5
O 2.5
Best odds: Norwich City vs West Bromwich Albion

Betting Tips for Norwich City vs West Brom

Under 2.5 goals

Although we recognize the importance of the match at Carrow Road for both teams, our Norwich City vs West Brom prediction will fall on the more conservative side when it comes to scoring chances and goals. The odds on under 2.5 goals stand at 1.85 on Bet365.

While West Brom are coming after a 4-1 win over Blackburn Rovers, it is important to note that their previous four matches ended with a 1-0 scoreline, be it wins or losses. With 25 conceded goals, only Leicester City have a better defensive record in the 2023/24 EFL Championship.

Norwich City and their 44 scored and 43 conceded goals do not seem like a conservative team but the recent matches go against that narrative. Thus, only one out of the last five matches which involved the Canaries ended with three or more goals.

Over 11 corners

Although we do not predict too many goals on Saturday, a high number of corner kicks is not excluded. This simply has to do with the tactics of the two teams, with both relying on crosses and shots from the distance which often lead to corner kicks. The odds on over 11 corners stand at 1.91 on Bet365.

We can also look at the numbers here. In Norwich City’s recent five league matches, there have been 11 or more corner kicks on four occasions. This also includes the head-to-head match between the two in December, when West Brom won 1-0 at home and there were 16 corner kicks.

The visitors’ numbers are not that different with 11 or more corner kicks in three matches in recent weeks. Since Coberan’s team will be happy with a draw on the road, we can see them adopting an even more defensive playing style which could lead to a bigger number of corner kicks.

Draw

We have alluded to it already but a draw between Norwich City and West Brom does seem like the likeliest outcome at Carrow Road. Bet365 offers 3.40 odds on there being no winner this Saturday.

West Brom may be better positioned and in better form at the moment but we simply do not see their defensive approach as good enough to steal the three points against the Canaries. Instead, the visitors should be more concerned about not losing and keeping up the momentum.

As for the hosts, they have had their good and bad days in 2023/24, and it is this inconsistency that keeps David Wagner’s team back. We should also remember that the Yellows had a mid-week match against Bristol City in the FA Cup on Wednesday, meaning that they won’t be at their freshest.

Please remember to always gamble responsibly. Our Norwich City vs West Brom tips are only suggestions, not a call to action. Always rely on your own judgement in the end.

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