Newcastle United vs AC Milan Prediction and Tips

Dumitru Palanchuk
Dumitru Palanchuk
12 December 2023, 13:32

Newcastle United vs AC Milan Preview

The last round of the UEFA Champions League group stage is upon us. The situation in Group F defies the expectations, as Borussia Dortmund have already confirmed their spot in the knockout stage while Paris Saint-Germain continue in second place.

For the two participants of our Newcastle United vs AC Milan prediction, only a win would give them the hope of advancing to the next round. However, their fate is not entirely in their hands, as only PSG dropping points at Signal Iduna Park would allow either side to clinch the second qualifying berth. 

The match between Newcastle and Milan is scheduled for 8:00 pm local time on Wednesday, December 13.

Newcastle United Preview

The Magpies are currently third in Group F with five points after five matches, having recorded one win, two draws and two losses. Eddie Howe’s men have scored five goals and conceded as many. To advance to the knockout stage, Newcastle need to win the match on Wednesday and PSG have to NOT win against Dortmund on the road.

An important consideration in our Newcastle United vs AC Milan tips is the recent form. The Toon is coming after two consecutive defeats, but their last five matches also include two wins and a draw. 

The hosts are missing Harvey Barnes, Sven Botman, Nick Pope and five other players through injury. 

AC Milan Preview

AC Milan sit bottom of Group F with five points as well, having scored three goals and conceded seven. Due to a worse head-to-head record, AC Milan need to beat Newcastle at St James’ Park AND need PSG to lose to BVB in order to advance to the next round.

The Rossoneri have the likes of Pierre Kalulu, Malick Thiaw, and Noah Okafor on sidelines for Wednesday, with their injury list significantly shorter.

In terms of recent form, the Italians are on a run of two wins, one draw and two losses. Nevertheless, they will be playing away, so it is no surprise that the Newcastle United vs AC Milan odds are not in their favour.

Betting Tips Newcastle United vs AC Milan

Under 2.5 goals 

To start off our Newcastle United vs AC Milan prediction, we should come out and say that the match at St James’ Park may turn out to be quite a boring one, at least in terms of goals scored. Bet365 offers 2.07 odds on under 2.5 goals in the match.

The previous match between the two ended in a 0-0 draw at San Siro. Taking into account the cost of a loss on Wednesday – the team who loses will finish bottom in Group F and will miss out on even UEFA Europa League spots – it should incentivise both coaches to approach the game cautiously.

To drive this point home, there have been under three goals in four of Newcastle’s matches in the 2023/24 UEFA Champions League. For AC Milan, this statement is true about two of their five matches.

Both teams to score? No

Moreover, we will take a step forward in our Newcastle United vs AC Milan tips and predict that one of the teams will not score. The odds on it happening stand at 2.05 on Bet365.

With three goals scored in five matches, the Rossoneri clearly do not have the best attack in UEFA Champions League. In fact, they have failed to score a single goal away from home in the 2023/24 campaign, and Setafano Pioli’s men will certainly have it difficult against Newcastle.

As for the Magpies, they have netted more goals – five to be exact – but those goals came in two matches. This is to say that the Toon has failed to score in three of the five UEFA Champions League encounters so far. 

Another scenario to consider is one of the teams getting an early lead. In this case, be it Newcastle or Milan, the optimal choice would be to defend the lead instead of searching for a second goal, considering what is at stake.

Newcastle United win

If there is one team that can get the full three points at St James’ Park, it has to be the hosts. Bet365 offer 1.85 odds on a win for the English side. If you want to combine it with the previous Newcastle United vs AC Milan prediction, then the odds on a win to nil for the Magpies stand at 3.60.

The Toon may be coming after two consecutive losses but we should not forget that their previous matches included wins over Manchester United and Chelsea, as well as an away draw with PSG.

The Rossoneri have a comparable run of form but the opponents they have faced are no match. Their biggest rivals were Atalanta and Borussia Dortmund, and Milan lost both times. Considering that the Italians need more things to go in their favour in order to qualify for play-offs, we believe in Newcastle coming out victorious at home.

Please remember that our Newcastle United vs AC Milan tips are mere suggestions, not a call to action. Always rely on your own judgement in the end.