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Las Palmas vs Barcelona Prediction and Tips

Dumitru Palanchuk
Dumitru Palanchuk
3 January 2024, 14:07

Las Palmas vs Barcelona Preview

La Liga is set to return from the Christmas break with another round of exciting matches. One clash to look forward to in particular will take place at Estadio Gran Canaria where Las Palmas are scheduled to host defending champions Barcelona on Thursday, January 4. The game will kick off at 9:30 pm CET.

The two teams are very similar in their approach as they bet on possession, something to keep in mind in our Las Palmas vs Barcelona prediction. With the Catalans desperate for the win, though, we expect Xavi’s men to take more risks than usual.

Las Palmas Preview

Out of the three teams promoted to La Liga, Las Palmas are the ones who have fared the best so far. The Islanders are currently 10th in the league standings with 25 points after 18 matches. Coached by former Barcelona academy trainer Javier Garcia Pimienta, they have scored 15 and conceded 15 goals.

The hosts love holding the ball for long stretches of time even if they do not intend on scoring anymore. Playing at home, it will be no surprise if Garcia Pimienta’s men outdo the Catalans when it comes to possession, which will be an important factor in our Las Palmas vs Barcelona tips.

Finally, we should mention that the Islanders will miss Julian Araujo, as the right-back has a clause in his contract restricting him from playing against his parent club Barcelona. Alvaro Lemos is out with an injury as well.

Barcelona Preview

After finally bringing the La Liga title back to Camp Nou last term, Barcelona have been unable to keep up the good performances in 2023/24. Thus, the Catalans are currently fourth in the standings with 38 points and a record of 34 goals scored and 21 conceded.

Xavi’s men are seven points behind joint leaders Real Madrid and Girona, meaning that they cannot make any more mistakes if they intend to remain in the title race until the end of the season. 

With the better squad on paper, the visitors have the advantage in the Las Palmas vs Barcelona odds. However, we need to keep in mind that Xavi still cannot count on Gavi, Marc-Andre ter Stegen, Inigo Martinez and Marcos Alonso due to injury.

Betting Tips Las Palmas vs Barcelona

Under 2.5 goals

Unfortunately for the neutral fans, the match at Estadio Gran Canaria does not promise a lot of goals due to the possession-based football preferred by the two teams. Our first Las Palmas vs Barcelona prediction will be exactly that, as Bet365 offers 2.10 odds on under 2.5 goals.

Looking at the numbers, there have been more than three goals in just four of Las Palmas’ 18 La Liga matches in 2023/24. Garcia Pimienta uses possession not only as a mechanism for creating chances but as a way to limit the scoring opportunities that the rivals create.

The Catalans may have impressive names in attack like Robert Lewandowski and Joao Felix but their recent performances have been underwhelming. Barcelona have scored just eight goals in the last five league encounters, which is less than two goals per game.

Barcelona win

The recent forms of the two teams are not too different. Thus, Las Palmas won two, drew one and lost two of their last five La Liga games. Barcelona recorded two wins, two draws and one loss during the same period.

Nevertheless, we see the Catalans as the superior team and expect them to get the full points on Thursday. Bet365 offer 1.53 odds on a win for the visitors.

First of all, Barcelona need the win more because they need to keep up with the competition in the title race. Las Palmas are comfortable in their mid-table position and can barely hope for more in their return to La Liga.

And second, Barcelona’s recent form may not fully reflect what happened on the pitch. The Catalans dropped points against both Valencia and Girona, but they actually created enough chances to win those games – it was the conversion rate that let Xavi’s team down. With a bit of luck, they can beat Las Palmas.

Under 10 corners

This part of the Las Palmas vs Barcelona tips goes hand in hand with our expectation of a low-scoring game on Thursday, because a low number of chances often correlates with a decreased amount of corner kicks. Bet365 give 1.72 odds on under 10 corner kicks at Estadio Gran Canaria.

In the last five La Liga outings which involved Las Palmas, there were more than 10 corner kicks on just two occasions. The exact same numbers are true for Barcelona despite them typically scoring more often.

Since both coaches prefer their team to keep possession instead of trying to score with every half-chance they get, the match on Thursday will be mostly played in the middle of the park. As a result, this should limit the corner kicks that we will see in the match.

Please remember to always gamble responsibly. Our Las Palmas vs Barcelona tips are only suggestions, not a call to action. Always rely on your own judgement in the end.