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Juventus vs AS Roma Prediction and Tips

Dumitru Palanchuk
Dumitru Palanchuk
28 December 2023, 14:58

Juventus vs AS Roma Preview

Serie A is back from the Christmas break with another set of entertaining matches. The central game of the round will be the clash between Juventus and AS Roma on Saturday, December 30. The kick-off in Turin is scheduled for 8:45 pm local time.

The Bianconeri and the Giallorossi, coached by Massimiliano Allegri and Jose Mourinho respectively, are two of the most defensive teams in Italy, which will be a key observation in the Juventus vs AS Roma prediction. Other than that, we should mention that Juve are involved in the title race whereas the visitors are fighting for a UEFA Champions League qualification spot.

Juventus Preview

Juventus are currently placed second in Serie A with 40 points after 17 games, four points behind league leaders Inter Milan. The Bianconeri have a goal record of 26 scored and 11 conceded.

In the last five league matches, Allegris men have registered three wins and two draws. Moreover, Juve have lost only one game since the start of the 2023/24 league campaign.

Before going into the Juventus vs AS Roma tips, we should mention the absentees. The hosts will miss Mattia De Sciglio and Moise Kean through injury while Andrea Cambiaso, Paul Pogba and Nicolo Fagioli are all suspended for different reasons.

AS Roma Preview

AS Roma sit sixth in the league standings with 28 points, just three points below the UEFA Champions League spots. Mourinho’s men have scored 30 goals and conceded 19 but we should mention that over a quarter of the goals came in their 7-0 thrashing of Empoli back in September.

The Giallorossi started the 2023/24 season slowly but improved in the following months, with their recent record including three wins, one draw and one loss.

The visitors will be missing Tammy Abraham, Paulo Dybala, Houssem Aouar, Chris Smalling and Marash Kumbulla through injury, so no wonder the Juventus vs AS Roma odds are not in their favour.

Betting Tips Juventus vs AS Roma

Under 2.5 goals

When two defensive teams go head to head, a goal fest is the last thing to expect. Thus, our first Juventus vs AS Roma prediction is a low number of goals, with Bet365 offering 1.44 odds on under 2.5 goals.

We should begin by saying that Juve have the second-best defence in the 2023/24 Serie A, conceding just 11 times in 17 matches and keeping nine clean sheets. AS Roma’s record of 19 conceded goals and five clean sheets is quite solid as well, with Jose Mourinho clearly betting on defensive rigidity first of all.

In terms of recent matches, there have been more than two goals in just two of Juves recent five games. The exact same numbers are true for the Giallorossi, as Roma have had it difficult to score in the absence of Paulo Dybala.

Both teams to score? No

AS Roma will be happy with even one point on the road against Juventus, so Jose Mourinho will likely have his team sit back and defend from the get-go. The Giallorossi are not involved in the title race so they can afford to not push for the three points every week, considering that the other contenders for UEFA Champions League spots have been inconsistent so far.

The hosts, meanwhile, need the full points on Saturday if they want to keep putting pressure on Inter Milan. The issue is that Allegri’s team is not that great at breaking down defences, they would rather sit back themselves and only rarely hit back via counter-attacks. Forced to play possession-based football against Roma, we expect Juve to have trouble creating too many scoring opportunities.

Expecting a closed-off scenario in Turin, we predict that at least one of the teams will fail to score, with Bet365 giving 1.61 odds on it to happen. This bet will also be successful if the match ends in a 0-0 draw.

Under 10 corners 

Finally, a game with a limited amount of scoring chances should also mean a low number of corner kicks. The odds on under 10 corner kicks stand at 1.66 on Bet365.

Certainly, any kind of set piece may be a decent scoring opportunity when two defensive units go head to head. However, neither Juventus nor AS Roma are teams that deliberately seek corner kicks.

Now, to back it up with numbers there have been under 10 corners in two of Juve’s last five Serie A matches. In the 1-1 draw with Inter Milan, there was only one corner kick!

For AS Roma, the stats are even more favourable, with more than 10 corners in just one of the last five league encounters. Mourinho definitely knows how to park the bus, and we expect exactly that on Saturday.

Please remember to always gamble responsibly. Our Juventus vs AS Roma tips are only suggestions, not a call to action. Always rely on your own judgement in the end.