England vs Slovenia Preview: Pragmatic Three Lions against The Pressing Machine of Matjaz Kek

Dumitru Palanchuk
Dumitru Palanchuk
24 June 2024, 14:26

England vs Slovenia

England and Slovenia are set to face off in a crucial Group C encounter at Cologne Stadium. England currently sit atop Group C with four points, needing only a draw to secure their place in the last 16, while Slovenia occupy third place and must win to guarantee progression.

The stakes are high for both sides, with England looking to shake off criticism following two underwhelming performances in the tournament so far. Despite their unbeaten record, the Three Lions have failed to impress, narrowly defeating Serbia before stumbling to a 1-1 draw against Denmark. Slovenia, on the other hand, have shown resilience, drawing both their matches 1-1 and are still in search of their first-ever win at the final stage of Euro.

England Team News

England enters this match under intense scrutiny, with their recent performances drawing criticism from fans and experts alike. Gareth Southgate's side has struggled to find cohesion and fluidity in their play, with particular concerns raised about their pressing strategy and midfield balance. The England manager faces tough decisions regarding his starting lineup, with calls for changes in both midfield and attack. Trent Alexander-Arnold's role in midfield has been questioned, while there are suggestions that Jude Bellingham could be pushed back alongside Declan Rice to accommodate Phil Foden in a more central role. With the team's current form and the pressure mounting, Southgate will need to address the apparent confusion among his players regarding their roles and tactical approach, an important variable in the England vs Slovenia prediction.

Slovenia Team News

Slovenia, led by manager Matjaz Kek, come into this match as underdogs, as per England vs Slovenia odds, but with growing confidence. They have shown resilience in their previous two matches, coming from behind to draw with Denmark and narrowly missing out on victory against Serbia. The team can be distinguished for their organised approach and ability to press opponents in their own half. With an eight-match unbeaten run and having scored in their last 14 games, Slovenia will be no pushovers and could pose a significant threat to England's ambitions. Slovenia's danger man, Benjamin Sesko, will be the focal point of their attack, with the team likely to utilise crosses from wide areas to exploit his aerial prowess while Jan Oblak's presence in goal provides a solid foundation for the team's defensive efforts. 

England vs Slovenia Prediction

Slovenia Handicap +1.5

With England unable to find its display and Southgate seemingly losing the track of the potential tactical adjustments, Slovenia, with its quick transitions, has the potential to upset the Three Lions. With the recent commentary of England players, complaining about the uncertainty on the field, and Southgate remarks that the team lacks Kalvin Phillips, a defensive midfielder who provided only one quality season in his career, later being deep in Manchester City’s reserve, it seems that the atmosphere in the team is going low. Slovenia can exploit this weakness and provide a formidable challenge for the Englishmen. This England vs Slovenia tip comes at 1.55 at MrPlay.

Total Goals Under 2.5

England is ranked among the worst attacking teams in this tournament, alongside Serbia. Despite having a dream array of attacking potential, it seems that Southgate simply does not know how to transform his pragmatic vision into a cohesive display. While England is expected to dominate the field, Slovenia showed that it can relatively easily transform into a counter attacking show and reap benefits from the deep defence. Having one of the best goalkeepers of the recent decade, Jan Oblak, adds another reason for this match being not resultative. This outcome can be picked up at 1.86 at MrPlay.

Total Corners Over 7.5 

With England expected to dominate possession, while Slovenia opts for counterattacking, the scenario implies a high number of corners taken. This particularly comes to the Slovenian side, which allows a lot of corners in front of the team’s net, with both Denmark and Serbia having 9 corners on them. Thus, the English, with its emphasis on control and subdue, can even break this total on their own. This outcome comes at 1.52 at MrPlay

Remember to gamble responsibly. Tips provided serve only as a recommendation, not as a call to action. Always rely on your own judgement.