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England vs Italy Tips and Predictions

Dumitru Palanchuk
Dumitru Palanchuk
16 October 2023, 13:05

With the first stage of the UEFA Euro 2024 Qualifying nearing its end, a crucial match that will determine the situation in Group C will take place on Tuesday, October 17, when England host Italy at the Wembley Stadium. The kick-off is scheduled for 7:45 pm local time.

The Three Lions currently top Group C with 13 points after five matches. The guests, Gli Azzurri, are second with 10 points, tied with third-sitting Ukraine. 

Besides the importance to the league table, this match will also offer England the chance to get their revenge against Italy after losing the Euro 2020 final at the very same stadium. We will take all of this into account in our England vs Italy tips.

Both to score? Yes 

England and Italy are two attacking teams, having scored 16 and 10 goals respectively in the UEFA Euro 2024 qualifying so far. In fact, both teams have scored in each of their five games in the tournament to date, and we expect that trend to continue on Tuesday. Bet365, meanwhile, offers 2.10 odds on both teams scoring.

The three points will be crucial for both teams. For England, a win means virtually securing their spot at the upcoming UEFA Euro 2024. For Italy, it means catching up with the group leaders and significantly boosting their qualification chances.

Besides, both teams have plenty of talent in attack, with Harry Kane, James Maddison, Bukayo Saka on one side, and the likes of Moise Kean, Giacomo Raspadori and Domenico Berardi on the other. And for these two reasons, we believe both teams will end up on the scoreboard.

Over 2.5 goals

Taking our England vs Italy tips one step further, we expect a high-scoring game at Wembley with at least three goals. Bet365’s odds on it happening stand at 2.15. We should also note that there were also three goals the previous time the two teams met, with England beating Italy 2-1 back in March.

To begin with, we do not believe that a 1-1 draw would be an agreeable result for either team. For the visitors, anything but a win will likely mean that Ukraine will overtake them in the group standings as they will be playing minnows Malta at the same time. 

And for England, how can they afford to not beat Italy at Wembley, in front of their fans, after losing the UEFA 2020 Euro to them? The local fans will certainly cheer the players forward from the very first minute. And let’s not forget that a win will all but seal England’s spot at the next summer’s Euro.

Over 8 corners

In line with our expectations of a high-scoring game, we also predict that the match between England and Italy will result in quite a few corner kicks. There were 10 corner kicks in their previous encounter, and Bet365 gives 2.00 odds on there being over 8 corners on Tuesday.

Since both teams will need the win, it is reasonable to expect that there will be a big number of scoring chances on both ends. Under new coach Luciano Spaletti, Italy will probably look to control possession and create chances through the middle. England, meanwhile, may end up operating on quick counters.

Besides, the two teams may also actively look to win corner kicks as a set-piece is a decent scoring chance in itself. 

Please remember to always gamble responsibly. Our England vs Italy tips are mere suggestions, not a call to action. Always rely on your own judgement first and foremost.