Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid Preview: The Last Dance of Marco Reus and Toni Kroos in The UEFA Champions League Finale

Dumitru Palanchuk
Dumitru Palanchuk
29 May 2024, 07:45

The London finale will feature an intense battle between Real Madrid, a holder of 14 UEFA Champions League trophies, and Borussia Dortmund, whom we last saw in the final 11 years ago, in 2013. Interestingly enough, that final was also held at Wembley and some of the Dortmund players, namely Marco Reus and Mats Hummels are travelling to London with memories of that match’s defeat to Bayern (2-1). Another fascinating coincidence is that during that Champions League draw, Real Madrid and Bayern Munich had also met in semifinals, but at that time, Bayern proved to be better in the penalty shootout. In the upcoming match, Borussia Dortmund is considered an outsider, according to Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid odds, but once again will try to make the fortune of its historical run.

Borussia Dortmund Team News

Dortmund's Champions League campaign has been a bright spot in an otherwise inconsistent season, as they finished fifth in the Bundesliga. However, their progress through the knockout stages has been sensational, with few expecting them to go this far. Mats Hummels and the iconic Marco Reus, set to make his 429th and final appearance for the club, are coming to London for a second, and a last chance to have a triumph at Wembley. The Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid prediction should take into account that Dortmund's defensive solidity has been a hallmark of their Champions League campaign, conceding just nine goals – the fewest of any team to make it past the quarter-final stage. 

Real Madrid Team News

Real Madrid's path to the final has been tense, in stark contrast to their effortless La Liga triumph. Despite the enormous pressure in the second matches against Manchester City and Bayern Munich, Carlo Ancelotti's side maintained an undefeated record in all 12 matches of their Champions League campaign, once again reminding that this tournament has a special place for Real Madrid. Fatigue from a demanding season could be a factor, but Real Madrid's experience in high-pressure situations and their ability to grind out results cannot be underestimated. With Toni Kroos set to play his final game for the club, the Spanish giants will be motivated to send him off with another Champions League triumph. In terms of the squad, the key problem for the Real Madrid will be the absence of Aurelien Tchouameni, who is still recovering from the injury, but given a handful of backup players, as Eduardo Camavinga, Ancelotti does not have to worry about the quality of his starting 11.

Experts and Players Opinion

With both experts and players seeing Real Madrid as an obvious favourite, there is a discrepancy regarding the possible outcomes of the London final when considering the opinion of different players and experts. Thus, some see that the underdog status will perfectly suit Borussia Dortmund, as it has been in the clash against PSG. Matthias Rötters admits that the team shows perfect display when it comes to exploiting open spaces, which can be the key to success against Real Madrid.

In similar vein, Marco Reus, who is expected to play his final match of the career on Wembley praises Dortmund’s speed, admitting that Borussia is among the best when it comes to quick attacks and delivering the ball through the likes of Jadon Sancho and Julian Brandt. Jamie Carragher, a former Liverpool player, on the contrary, points out that Bayern, with its current problems, would have been a way better opponent for Dortmund, while Real is much bigger in class, with Dortmund unlikely to have chances against the Champions League giant.

Real Madrid’s camp is also quite optimistic when it comes to analysing the upcoming finale. Thus, Madrid players, as Jude Bellingham, despite making his name at Dortmund, admits that he will be happy to see old friends, but Real comes to Wembley to lift a trophy, and their display during the season reflects that they have all the chances to do it.

Carlo Ancelotti, from his side, reminds of the statistics, that Real Madrid has 8 wins from their 8 last finals. Graham Hunter, one of the Madrid reporters, has also brought this statistics, adding that Real will have more personal motivation, including the last match of Toni Kroos and the possibility of Luka Modric and Dani Carvajal to equal the legendary Paco Gento, with his 6 wins of European Cups.

Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid Prediction

Real Madrid to Win

Real Madrid haunts its 15th Champions League trophy and approaches the finale in almost perfect form after a demanding season. Borussia may have cherished its memories of winning against Real Madrid with Robert Lewandowski scoring 4 goals, but at the team's current stage, the difference in class is too big. Real, compared even to PSG, is unlikely to waste a lot of moments in front of Kobel’s net, given how the team can turn around matches in several minutes. Additionally, the depth of squad and overall class of the players also do speak in Madrid’s favour. This Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid tip comes at 1.64 at Mr Play.

Total Goals Under 2.5

In the last 5 consecutive seasons, the final matches do not feature a lot of goals scored. The last match, where the game saw more than two goals score was the Kyiv finale when Real won against Liverpool 3-1 (however, if not for 2 mistakes of Karius, the score could have been different). With the stakes are exorbitantly high, Borussia is likely to put on a defensive display, which brought them success against PSG, while Real will be careful enough not to have the same defensive mistakes as in the semifinals against Bayer. Thus, another low-scoring finale can be expected with this outcome can be picked up at Mr Play for 2.15.

Goal in First Half - Real Madrid

Real Madrid knows how important it is to get an advantage as early as possible and the team does its best to shock the opponent in the early stages of the game. During this playoff campaign, Real did not score in the first half only in the second semi final against Bayern and in both matches against RB Leipzig (however, in both matches against Leipzig, Real had quite decent moments). In this regard, explosive flanks of Vinicius and Rodrigo can once again become a shock for Dortmund’s defence, giving Madrid an important advantage. This outcome can be picked up at 1.68 at Mr Play

Remember to gamble responsibly. Tips provided serve only as a recommendation, not as a call to action. Always rely on your own judgement.