Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia M’Gladbach Prediction and Tips

Dumitru Palanchuk
Dumitru Palanchuk
26 January 2024, 08:50

Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia M’Gladbach Preview

The 2023/24 Bundesliga title race is suddenly becoming one of the best stories of the season as Bayer Leverkusen – nicknamed Neverkusen after finishing as runners-up in Germany on five occasions but never actually winning the trophy – remain in the first spot. Their incredible journey continues on Saturday, January 27, when they are scheduled to host Borussia M’Gladbach. The kick-off is set for 6:30 pm local time.

The Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia M’Gladbach prediction will take into account the recent form of the two teams. The visitors are far from their best but still have a few things going for themselves.

Bayer Leverkusen Preview

As implied above, Bayer Leverkusen are currently leading in the Bundesliga with 48 points after 18 games. Xabi Alonso's men are seven points ahead of Bayern Munich but the Bavarians have a game in hand.

In the 2023/24 Bundesliga campaign so far, the Schwartzroten have scored 50 goals and conceded 14, boasting the second-best attack and best defence in the league. They are approaching the match on Saturday on a run of four wins and one draw in the last five league games.

We have to also mention the absentees before diving into the Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia M’Gladbach tips. The hosts cannot count on Arthur, Victor Boniface, Exequiel Palacios (all – injured), Jonathan Tah (suspended), Amine Adli, Edmond Tapsoba and Odilon Kossounou (all – on international duty).

Borussia M’Gladbach Preview

Borussia M’Gladbach has been one of the most unbalanced teams in Germany this eason. The Prussians are currently 12th in the standings with 20 points after 18 matches and are looking at another mid-table finish after placing 10th last term.

The lack of balance is evident in their goal record: with 35 goals in favour and 38 against, they have the sixth-best attack and second-worst defence in the Bundesliga. Coached by Gerardo Seoane, the team is on a run of one win, one draw and three losses in recent weeks.

Moreover, the visitors will be missing Mamadou Doucoure, Jonas Omlin, Tomas Cvancara and Lukas Ulrich via injury, as well as Ko Itakura who is away on international duty. With such a poor run of form, no wonder that the Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia M’Gladbach odds favour the hosts.

Betting Tips Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia M’Gladbach

Over 2.5 goals

When you have the second-best attack and second-worst defence in the league going head to head, is it really a surprise to be talking about goals? Our first Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia M’Gladbach prediction is a high-scoring game at BayArena, and Bet365 give 1.40 odds on over 2.5 goals.

The hosts are no strangers to high-scoring games as their recent matches include the 3-2 win over RB Leipzig, 4-0 win over Bochum and 3-0 defeat of Eintracht Frankfurt. This means three high-scoring games out of the last five Bundesliga outings for Xabi Alonso’s team.

This figure is much higher for the visitors as all of their last five league matches included at least three total goals. In fact, the last (and only) time there were under three goals in a match involving Borussia M’Gladbach was back in September when Seoane’s team was beaten 1-0 at home by RB Leipzig.

Both teams to score? Yes

The Schwartzroten may have the best defence in Germany but their backline is not impenetrable. Bayer Leverkusen have kept three clean sheets in the last five Bundesliga outings but those included matches against teams like Augsburg and Bochum who are far from being attacking powerhouses.

Borussia M’Gladbach, on the other hand, does have a solid attacking line, and it is confirmed by their goal record. While their performances have been here and there in 2023/24, the Prussians have failed to score in only two matches this term: the aforementioned 1-0 loss to RB Leipzig and the 3-0 home defeat to Bayer Leverkusen. Both of those matches were early into the season, though, and their scoring output has been much more consistent since.

With that being said, we can see the visitors continuing their trend and scoring on Saturday too. The odds on both teams scoring stand at 1.70 on Bet365.

Bayer Leverkusen win and both teams to score

A goal for the visitors is where our optimism in regards to Borussia M’Gladbach ends, we still expect the hosts to get the full points on Saturday. Bet365 offer 2.50 odds on both teams scoring and Bayer Leverkusen getting the win.

It may have sounded impossible at the start of the season but with January almost over, the Schwartzroten are the only club in Europe – whole Europe, not just the top five leagues – to have not lost a single game in the 2023/24 campaign. Since Bayern Munich dropped points last weekend, Bayer Leverkusen will want to solidify their lead with another win.

While the Prussians have a decent attack, their defensive issues are simply too big to ignore. And if you believe that Borussia M’Gladbach won’t even be able to score at BayArena, then a simple win for the hosts stands at 1.29 odds on Bet365.

Please remember to always gamble responsibly. Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia M’Gladbach tips are only suggestions, not a call to action. Always rely on your own judgement in the end.