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Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Predictions and Tips

Dumitru Palanchuk
Dumitru Palanchuk
8 April 2024, 13:53

In another UEFA Champions League quarter finals, Atletico will host Borussia Dortmund in Madrid, at Metropolitano Stadium, where the teams met only once, in 2018, when the home side was better 2-0. During the years, many things have changed, and the teams approach the upcoming clash with caution, given the incohesive game of both. Atletico has already shown its ambitions by winning over Inter, while Borussia was better than PSV. 

Atletico Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund Preview 

Atletico Madrid Preview

Atletico is currently fourth in La Liga and their poor recent performances put their Champions League place for the next season in danger. In the last 8 rounds, Atletico got only three wins, with three loses and a draw, unacceptable results for Simeone’s standards. In addition to it, while trying to distance themselves from purely defensive football, Atletico began to show more attacking capabilities which, however, resulted in weakened defence, and 35 goals conceded in 30 matches of La Liga. At the same time, the team showed a purely decent performance in the Champions League, with only 1 defeat in the last 8 matches. In the previous stage, Atletico outclassed one of the favourites of this draw, Inter, scoring 2.0 xG goals amid the best European defence. After such a performance, a clash against Borussia seems to be manageable for Atletico even despite the team’s current problems in the domestic championship.

Borussia Dortmund Preview 

Borussia also showed inconsistent performance in Bundesliga and their recent loss to Stuttgart dropped the team to fifth place, currently leaving them out of the Champions League zone. With Edin Terzic’s place as Dortmund manager under serious pressure, ending the Champions League campaign in the quarter finals may be the last drop to the board’s patience. Borussia was the undisputed favourite of the previous round against PSV but it failed to show a decent performance in both matches, with the home win (2-0) saw plenty of unrealized chances for the Netherlands side. Another source of worry for the fans is that five of the last eight matches in Spain ended with a defeat to Dortmund, while Diego Simeone has never lost a home match in the knockout stages. 

Betting Tips for Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund

Atletico Madrid to Win

Despite the poor performances in La Liga, Atletico outstandingly looks in the Champions League. Atletico is also well-known for its decent performances over German teams, with the team having not lost a single match over German teams in its last 12 home matches in European competitions. At this point of the season, the Spaniards look like a more preferable side to have advantage amid the second match. Unibet gives 1.80 for this Atletico Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund prediction.

Both Teams to Score

With Atletico attempting to play more aggressively in the attack, the team looks more vulnerable in the defence, conceding too many goals for its standards. The last clean sheet kept by the team was in mid February, in the match against Las Palmas (5-0). Borussia was never synonymous with a reliable defence, which is relevant for this season as well. The team has already conceded 33 goals in Bundesliga and was lucky to concede only two from PSV in the first play off round. Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund odds for this outcome, as defined by Unibet, are 1.86.

Karim Adeyemi to Score at Any Time 

Karim Adeyemi is among the most valuable players in Dortmund's squad when it comes to dismantling defensive lines that are built around individual pressing and offside traps. With his speed and dribbling abilities, Karim can be the wild card for Edin Terzic in the upcoming match, especially given that the German has scored in his last two out of three away matches. Unibet gives 6.50 for this Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund tip.

Remember to gamble responsibly. Tips provided serve only as a recommendation, not as a call to action. Always rely on your own judgement.