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AS Roma vs Atalanta Prediction and Tips

Dumitru Palanchuk
Dumitru Palanchuk
6 January 2024, 08:05

AS Roma vs Atalanta Preview

AS Roma and Atalanta are two solid teams that regularly fight for European spots in Serie A, and the 2023/24 campaign is no exception. With many Italian clubs underperforming, both sides hold hopes of UEFA Champions League qualification, and that’s what makes the clash between the two on Sunday, January 7, especially exciting. The kick-off at Stadio Olimpico is scheduled for 8:45 pm local time.

Before jumping into the AS Roma vs Atalanta prediction, we should mention that both teams have a Coppa Italia encounter scheduled for January 10, which will certainly influence how the two coaches will approach the game on Sunday.

AS Roma Preview

Jose Mourinho’s team is currently placed seventh in the Serie A table with 28 points after 18 matches, five points below the UEFA Champions League spots. AS Roma have a record of 30 scored and 20 conceded goals.

The Giallorossi are in decent form at the moment despite coming after a 1-0 loss to Juventus on the road. Thus in the last five league games, Roma have registered two wins, one draw and two losses.

Also crucial for the AS Roma vs Atalanta tips are the absentees. The hosts are without Houssem Aouar and Evan Ndicka (on international duty) as well as Chris Smalling and Tammy Abraham (injured).

Atalanta Preview

Atalanta are just above AS Roma in the standings with 29 points to date. Coached by Gian Piero Gasperini, La Dea have scored 29 goals and conceded 20 goals in 18 league matches so far.

In terms of recent form, the visitors have a better balance with three wins and two losses in the last five games. At the same time, Atalanta have been struggling defensively, with just one clean sheet in the last five games.

Finally, Gasperini cannot count on Ademola Lookman (international duty), El Bilal Toure, Hans Hateboer and Rafael Toloi (all injured). As expected, there is no obvious favourite in the AS Roma vs Atalanta odds.

Betting Tips AS Roma vs Atalanta

Under 2.5 goals

Like with most games that involve a Jose Mourinho team, a high number of goals are the last things to expect on Sunday. Our first AS Roma vs Atalanta prediction is under 2.5 goals, with Bet365 offering 1.66 odds on it.

Despite their defence not being among the top five in Italy, AS Roma are a fairly conservative team. Mourinho usually has his men cover up the spaces effectively and wait for the perfect opportunity to counter-attack. The fact that there have been more than three goals in just one of Roma’s latest five league games demonstrates the results of this approach.

In this regard, Atalanta are the perfect rival because they do not mind controlling the ball for long periods of time. Considering La Dea’s recent issues in attack – coupled with the departure of main goalscorer Ademola Lookman – the game promises a low number of scoring chances.

Romelu Lukaku to score anytime

And if there will be any goals at Stadio Olimpico, we expect that Romelu Lukaku will be involved. The odds on the Belgium international scoring anytime on Sunday stand at 2.62 on Bet365.

Lukaku is having a solid 2023/24 campaign as he has scored 14 goals in 22 appearances for AS Roma across all competitions. Moreover, the 30-year-old has scored eight goals in 14 Serie A matches this term, which makes him the third-best goalscorer in the league. 

We’ve already mentioned that Atalanta have kept just one clean sheet in the last five encounters, which suggests that AS Roma are bound to get a few scoring opportunities this weekend. Lukaku, who has already scored against rivals like Napoli and Fiorentina this campaign, could rise up to the occasion once again and bring the much-needed three points to the Giallorossi.

Over 4.5 cards

Unlike goals, there should be an abundance of fouls and bookings on Sunday due to the aggressive playing styles on both sides. Bet365 offer 1.50 odds on over 4.5 cards at Stadio Olimpico.

To back it up with numbers, AS Roma have seen 19 cards in the last five Serie A encounters. Seven of them were shown in the 2-0 home win over Napoli. Gli Azzurri are a team that likes to press the opponent, just like Atalanta.

The numbers are not as high for the visitors, as Gasperini’s disciples have been booked 10 times in the same period of time, but it still rounds up to two cards per game. Nevertheless, Atalanta can have their bad days too, especially against teams that provoke them, like Mourinho’s Roma will certainly try to do.

Please remember to always gamble responsibly. Our AS Roma vs Atalanta tips are only suggestions, not a call to action. Always rely on your own judgement in the end.