Arsenal vs Crystal Palace Prediction and Tips

Dumitru Palanchuk
Dumitru Palanchuk
18 January 2024, 12:27

Arsenal vs Crystal Palace Preview

After a rather extensive pause, the Premier League is back in action this weekend. One game to look forward to will take place at the Emirates Stadium, where Arsenal will host Crystal Palace on Saturday, January 20. The kick-off is scheduled for 12:30 pm local time.

The two teams have very different goals for the 2023/24 campaign but this does not diminish the importance of the upcoming match. For instance, the Gunners risk falling out of the top four in case of a negative result on Saturday, which is something to consider in our Arsenal vs Crystal Palace prediction.

Arsenal Preview

Arsenal are currently fourth in the Premier League with 40 points after 20 matches. The Gunners have a record of 37 goals scored and 20 goals conceded.

Mikel Arteta’s men were on top of the table at some point of the season but the poor recent form has seen them drop down considerably. Thus, Arsenal have recorded one win, one draw and three losses in their recent five Premier League outings.

Before diving into the Arsenal vs Crystal Palace tips, we have to remind you of the absentees. The hosts are left without Jurrien Timber, Thomas Partey and Fabio Viera through injury and Mohamed Elneny and Takehiro Tomiyasu who are away on international duty. 

Crystal Palace Preview

Crystal Palace are in a very different situation, as their 2023/24 campaign so far has been about survival. The Eagles are 14th in the table with 21 points after 20 matches. They have scored 22 and conceded 29 goals in the Premier League.

Coached by Roy Hodgson, Palace have recorded one win, two draws and two losses in the latest five league matches. Unlike Arsenal, they have a mid-week game against Everton in the FA Cup so they get less time to recover ahead of the clash at the Emirates.

The visitors cannot count on Cheick Doucoure, Jesurun Rak-Sakyi and Sam Johntstone through injury, as well as Jordan Ayew who is away for the 2023 Africa Cup of Nations.

Despite the poor form of the Gunners, they are still seen as the obvious favourites in the Arsenal vs Crystal Palace odds.

Betting Tips for Arsenal vs Crystal Palace

Under 2.5 goals

Since neither team has been in particularly good form in recent weeks, a goalfest is probably the last thing to expect on Saturday. One of our Arsenal vs Crystal Palace predictions is under 2.5 goals, with Bet365 giving 2.10 odds on it to happen.

Firstly, Arsenal have had a tough time scoring as of late, with just four goals in the last five Premier League encounters. While they have most of their attacking players in good health, something seems to be broken up front, especially in terms of conversion rate.

And second, the Eagles are a fairly solid team when it comes to defence. Despite the negative goal difference, Crystal Palace have still conceded fewer goals than clubs like Chelsea, Tottenham Hotspur, West Ham and other higher-placed teams. Parking the bus and waiting for counter-attacking opportunities is something that Hodgson’s teams knows and does very well.

Under 11 corners

Continuing with the same line of thinking, we expect that the defensive approach that Crystal Palace is likely to undertake on Saturday will significantly limit the number of corner kicks in the match. The odds on under 11 corners stand at 1.67 on Bet365.

The match scenario where one team gives away the ball and just sits back and the rivals try to slowly build from the back is ideal for both teams. Mikel Arteta’s men are well-trained in possession-based football and will be comfortable with keeping the ball for long stretches of time. Instead of shooting from every position imaginable, the Gunners will try to look for an opening in Palace’s defence.

If we were to look at the numbers, there have been 11 corner kicks or more in two out of Arsenal’s recent five matches. For Crystal Palace, this is true about three of their recent league matches. 

Arsenal win

Finally, we expect Arsenal to finally get out of the rut and bag the three points on Saturday. Bet365 give 1.30 odds on a win for Mikel Arteta’s side.

The Gunners have indeed struggled in recent weeks but the two-week break offers the team a chance to start afresh. Luckily, Crystal Palace might be just the right victims as they will have less time to recover ahead of the match and are in a poor run of form themselves. The win over Brentford aside, the Eagles had gone winless for eight straight matches in the Premier League.

If you want to combine this part of our Arsenal vs Crystal Palace tips with the ones above, then Bet365 offer 2.10 odds on the hosts winning to nil. With the visitors focused on defence, we can see the Gunners getting a clean sheet.

Please remember to always gamble responsibly. Our Arsenal vs Crystal Palace tips are only suggestions, not a call to action. Always rely on your own judgement in the end.