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Arsenal vs Brighton Prediction and Tips

Dumitru Palanchuk
Dumitru Palanchuk
15 December 2023, 14:23

Arsenal vs Brighton Preview

With the European competition now taking a break until February, domestic tournaments will entertain the football fans in the coming months. One match to look forward to this weekend will be in the Premier League, as Arsenal will host Brighton. The kick-off at the Emirates is scheduled for 2 pm local time on Sunday, December 17.

The two teams are coming after midweek matches in Europe, but the hosts will get two days of extra rest, which we will take into account in our Arsenal vs Brighton prediction. In any case, the game promises to be a lot of fun due to the attacking approach on both sides.

Arsenal Preview

Arsenal are placed second in the Premier League with 36 points after 16 matches, just one point below league-leaders Liverpool. Mikel Arteta's men have scored 33 and conceded 15 goals. While both figures are impressive, the second one stands out, as the Gunners boast the joint-best defence in England.

In terms of recent form, Arsenal have registered four wins and one loss in the last five Premier League matches. Their latest league match was the 1-0 away loss to Aston Villa, which has seen the Gunners drop down to second spot.

Nevertheless, Sunday’s hosts have been one of the most consistent teams since the start of the 2023/24 campaign, which will be important for the Arsenal vs Brighton tips.

Brighton Preview

Brighton had a historic 2022/23 campaign as they qualified for European football for the first time in their history. Playing on two fronts has taken its toll on the Seagulls, though, as they have been struggling more since the start of the new season.

Roberto De Zerbi’s men are currently eighth in the Premier League with 26 points. The Albion have scored 33 goals but have conceded 28, putting them in the bottom half in terms of defensive performance.

When it comes to recent form, the visitors are on a run of two wins, two draws and one loss in the last five league encounters. Adding the fact that the Seagulls had a crucial UEFA Europa League match on Thursday, it is no surprise that the Arsenal vs Brighton odds are so one-sided.

Bookmaker
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U 2.5
O 2.5
Best odds: Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion

Betting Tips Arsenal vs Brighton

Both teams to score? Yes

Arsenal may have failed to score in their previous Premier League match but their 33 goals in 16 matches is only outdone by Aston Villa, Liverpool and Manchester City. Moreover, the Gunners created enough chances to score at least once past Aston Villa, they simply got unlucky by hitting the woodwork twice. Against Brighton’s weak defence, Arsenal should definitely score.

And while we have praised the hosts defence, we should mention that they are not as consistent in recent weeks, keeping just one clean sheet in the last five league matches. Brighton’s attacking numbers are as good as Arsenal’s, but they have one advantage – the Seagulls have scored in every 2023/24 Premier League match to date.

As such, our first Arsenal vs Brighton prediction is that both teams will score at the Emirates. Bet365 offers 1.75 odds on it happening.

Over 2.5 goals

We do not believe that the match between Arsenal and Brighton will be restricted to two goals, we expect at least one more. The odds on over 2.5 goals stand at 1.57 on Bet365.

First of all, we should start by saying that both teams, especially Brighton, bet on high-intensity, attacking football which sometimes leads to defensive fragility. The Seagulls will not change their game plan no matter what. Since they will be fatigued after the match against Marseille on Thursday, the visitors will likely commit more errors than usual, which should favour the Gunners. 

And second, we should consider the head-to-head matches between Arsenal and Brighton. In the last five such matches, there were at least three goals on four occasions. The exception here is the goalless draw at Falmer Stadium from back in 2021.

Arsenal win

After the slip-up against the Villans, Arsenal will want to redeem themselves this weekend. With Liverpool facing Manchester United the same day, the Gunners may get the chance to reclaim the top spot in case of a win over the Seagulls. That will depend on how Liverpool do in their match, of course, but we are confident in the Gunners at least getting the full free points this Sunday. 

Since the start of the campaign, Arteta's men have played eight home matches, recording six wins and two draws. There will be no excuse if Arsenal fail to beat a tired and struggling Brighton at home. Besides, they will want revenge after losing 3-0 to the Seagulls at Emirates at the end of last term.

Finally, Brighton’s away form is nothing impressive, with three wins, one draw and three losses since the start of the campaign. Bet365 offer 1.44 odds on an Arsenal win. If you want to combine two of our predictions together, the odds on both scoring and the Gunners winning the match stand at 2.87.

Please remember to always gamble responsibly. Our Arsenal vs Brighton tips are only suggestions, not a call to action. Always rely on your own judgement in the end.

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