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AC Milan vs PSG Tips and Predictions

Dumitru Palanchuk
Dumitru Palanchuk
7 November 2023, 06:42

Back when the draw for the 2023/24 UEFA Champions League took place, everyone agreed that Group F – with AC Milan, PSG, Borussia Dortmund and Newcastle United – was going to be the group of death. However, only a few would have predicted how things would pan out.

Of course, the most surprising thing is AC Milan sitting last in the group with just two points after three matches, having failed to score a single goal. The upcoming match against PSG on Tuesday, November 7, is their last chance to salvage the campaign. The kick-off is scheduled for 9 pm local time.

Besides the importance of the match, we will also consider the two teams’ form in our AC Milan vs PSG tips.

Both teams to score? Yes

AC Milan cannot afford to be defeated by PSG on Tuesday or the Rossoneri risk losing their chance of advancing to the UEFA Champions League knockouts despite having two more matches to play. 

In order to win, Stefano Pioli’s men need to score at least once at San Siro. While they have zero goals to their name in the three matches to date, we should admit that AC Milan had solid opportunities to score, their forwards simply did not convert those chances.

At the same time, we also expect the home side to concede. They are on a terrible run of form currently, recording three losses and one draw in the last four matches across all competitions. So, the Parisians and their incredible attacking line – with Kylian Mbappe, Ousmane Dembele and Randal Kolo Muania – should be able to score at least once, and Bet365’s odds on both teams scoring stand at 1.61.

Kylian Mbappe to score anytime

We’ve mentioned PSG’s formidable attack, and the next part of our AC Milan vs PSG tips will have to do with one of them in particular – Kylian Mbappe.

The 25-year-old – who recently finished third in the Ballon d’Or voting – is having an amazing start to the 2023/24 campaign despite his team struggling early into the season. So far, Mbappe has scored 12 goals in 13 matches for the Parisians across all competitions. Moreover, Kylian scored a goal and hit the goalpost once in the previous encounter with AC Milan.

Since the Rossoneri are expected to attack more at San Siro, this should leave plenty of spaces for Mbappe to run into on Tuesday. The Frenchman will certainly get his scoring chances, and we believe in him converting at least one. Bet365 offers 2.20 odds on Kylian Mbappe scoring anytime during the game.

Under 3.5 goals

At the same time, we do not predict a total goal-fest at San Siro this week. Bet365 gives 1.40 odds on under 3.5 goals, and we will explain below why we think this is likely to happen.

Paris Saint-Germain thrashed AC Milan in their previous head-to-head encounter, but Luis Enrique’s men were coming after a tough defeat to Newcastle United and needed to redeem themselves in front of the home crowd. On Tuesday, it is more likely that the Spanish coach will want his team to control the ball more so as to prevent the Rossoneri from creating their opportunities. Especially if PSG end up ahead on the scoreboard following an early goal.

AC Milan, meanwhile, are struggling in attack recently. In their last five matches across all competitions, the Italians recorded just three goals. With Christian Pulisic and Samuel Chukwueze out with injuries, their firing power is not what it used to be at the start of the season. While they may score at least once at home, that could be their maximum.

Please remember to always gamble responsibly. Our AC Milan vs PSG tips are mere suggestions, not a call to action. Always rely on your own judgement in the end.