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AC Milan vs Juventus Tips and Predictions

Dumitru Palanchuk
Dumitru Palanchuk
20 October 2023, 13:58

Serie A is set to return from the international break in style, as AC Milan will be hosting Juventus at San Siro on Sunday, October 22. The clash will kick-off at 8:45 pm local time.

Besides the longstanding rivalry between the two clubs, the match on Sunday will also see the 2023/24 Serie A league leaders take the team sitting in the third place with just a four-point difference in-between.

In our AC Milan vs Juventus tips, we will reflect on the recent form of the two sides. However, we will also take into account the recent international break which undoubtedly will affect the players.

AC Milan win

Juventus have so far looked better than their 2022/23 version, and their results in the league – 5 wins, 2 draws and one loss – is meant to prove this point. However, we have also seen that Massimiliano Allegri's men tend to do worse against bigger and braver rivals, like it happened against Sassuolo and Atalanta.

At the moment, there is no bigger and braver side in Serie A than AC Milan. Stefano Pioli’s men top the league standings with 21 points following seven wins and one loss, with a record of 16 goals scored and eight conceded. The Rossonneri struggled in the derby against Inter Milan but some will say that the 5-1 scoreline was not entirely reflective of what happened on the pitch.

Moreover, Juve are currently dealing with a lot of off-the-pitch drama like Paul Pogba’s doping and Nicolo Fagioli’s gambling stories, their heads will not be entirely in the game. Thus, we expect AC Milan to win the match, with Bet365 offering 2.25 odds on this final result.

Under 2.5 goals

At the same time, we assume in our AC Milan vs Juventus tips that the match at San Siro will not bring a lot of goals. Meanwhile, Bet365 offers 1.70 odds on under 2.5 goals in the game.

Milan and Juve are not the most scoring teams out there, with 16 and 14 goals in their bags respectively. Especially if we consider that many players will be carrying fatigue following the international break, Pioli and Allegri would rather have their teams defend a lead instead of going for a second goal.

Moreover, both sides have respectable defences with eight and six goals conceded respectively. The hosts will be missing their first-choice goalkeeper Mike Maignan through suspension, but their solid backline should be enough to limit the number of chances Juventus will get.

Over 5.5 cards

We expect the battle between AC Milan and Juventus to happen mostly in the middle of the park. Both teams are currently deploying playing systems that overload the midfield, be it Pioli’s inverting full-backs or Allegri’s formation with five midfielders.

With so many players operating in such a small area of the pitch, we are bound to see a lot of fouls. These offences will happen especially when one of the team manages to find a breakthrough, with their rivals being forced to commit a foul in order to stop the attack.

With that in mind, it is reasonable to expect quite a few yellow cards on Sunday, and Bet365 offers 1.83 odds on over 5.5 cards in the match. Together, Milan and Juve have received 44 cards in 16 matches so far, surely they can combine for more than five cards in the upcoming derby.

Please remember to always gamble responsibly. Our AC Milan vs Juventus tips are mere suggestions, not a call to action. Always rely on your own judgement first and foremost.